Comparing Bureau of Labor Statistics Unemployment Numbers to an Independent Source

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Gallup Survey people both generate numbers to help us understand the employment/unemployment situation. Unfortunately, they often present a different picture. Typically the BLS data presents a rosier picture than the independently surveyed Gallup numbers. However, like the previous two summers, the gap between the BLS and the […]

Why the U.S. Isn’t at “Full Employment” Yet

BLS posted good employment news and the NY Times and WSJ started talking about “Full Employment” but are we really that close? Probably not!

August Unemployment Numbers- 4.9%

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the Unemployment numbers for the month of August on Friday September 2nd. The commonly quoted Seasonally Adjusted U-3 Unemployment rate was 4.9% for the third month in a row. The unadjusted U-3 Unemployment rate was 5.0% and Gallup’s equivalent was 5.4% for a “mere” 0.4% difference.

The broader U-6 Unemployment rate (also unadjusted) which includes “discouraged workers”, “marginally attached workers” and Part time workers who want to work full-time was 9.7% in August while Gallup’s equivalent which they call the “Underemployment rate” was 3.4% higher at 13.1%. The civilian non-institutional population increased another 234,000 this month bringing it to 253,854,000.

Government Shutdown Delays Unemployment Data

Due to the government shutdown the Bureau of Labor Statistics is not publishing the regular Unemployment statistics. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President, Dennis Lockhart, says that it is fortunate that the FED chose not to begin “tapering” the money stimulus under the circumstances.  “We avoided a potentially very awkward situation of reducing stimulus […]

Private Sector Job Creation Slightly Down in May

Job Creation in May According to the most recent Gallup survey results U.S. job creation is at a 19 in May down from 20 in April but up from 18 in March. Gallup interviewed 16,913 workers in May and asked them whether they felt their employer was increasing, decreasing or maintaining the same size workforce. […]