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You are here: Home / Archives for Tim McMahon

Tim McMahon, Editor of UnemploymentData.com

My grandfather lived through the Hyperinflation in Weimar, Germany--to say he was an original “gold bug” would be an understatement. I began reading his “hard money” newsletters at the age of 16 and the dividends from gold stocks helped put me through college. I began publishing the Financial Trend Forecaster paper newsletter in 1995 upon the death of James Moore editor of Your Window into the Future and the creator of the Moore Inflation Predictor©. FTF specializes in trends in the stock market, gold, inflation and bonds. In January of 2003, I began publishing InflationData.com to specialize in all forms of information about the nature of Inflation. In 2009, we added Elliott Wave University to help teach you the principles of Elliott Wave analysis. In January 2013, we began publishing OptioMoney. Connect with Tim on Google+.

February Employment / Unemployment Report

March 4, 2022 by Tim McMahon

February 2022 Unemployment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment

  • Adjusted U-3 was Down from 4.0% to 3.8%
  • Unadjusted U-3 was Down from 4.4% to 4.1%
  • Unadjusted U-6 was Down from 7.9% to 7.6%
  • Labor Force Participation Up from 62.2% 62.3%
  • Unadjusted Employment rose from 147. 510 million to 148. 964 million

February 2022 Unemployment report:

AP says: Strong Job Growth Points to COVID’s Fading Grip on Economy “Employers added a robust 678,000 jobs in February, the largest monthly total since July, the Labor Department reported Friday.”

CNBC says: U.S. unemployment rate falls in February, but ticks up for Black women “The unemployment rate for Black women ticked up to 6.1% in February from 5.8% in the previous month.”

According to the Commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics:

“Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 678,000 in February, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.8 percent. Employment growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, health care, and construction. Employment is down by 2.1 million, or 1.4 percent, from its level before the onset of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in February 2020.

In February, employment growth continued in leisure and hospitality (+179,000) with job gains in food services and drinking places (+124,000) and accommodation (+28,000). “

As usual, they are talking about “Seasonally Adjusted Jobs” from the “Current Population Survey (CPS)” rather than looking at the results reported by actual companies in their “Current Employment Statistics survey (CES)”

But looking at the CES report we see…
Originally the BLS reported employment of 147.525 million for January which they adjusted to 147.510 million. So 15,000 jobs disappeared for January. But they are reporting 148.964 million jobs for February which is actually an increase of 1,439,000 jobs based on their original estimates or an increase of 1,454,000 based on their updated numbers. 

[Read more…] about February Employment / Unemployment Report

Filed Under: BLS Tagged With: 2022, BLS, Charts, employment, February, unemployment

Excellent Six-Figure Careers To Consider

February 16, 2022 by Tim McMahon

It’s not surprising that many excellent six-figure careers are in the medical field but there are a few that aren’t. Of course, it is unlikely to start with a six-figure career in an entry-level job.  So, in a time where most people face years of stagnant wages, it can leave you wondering what to do. Fortunately, there are some top-paying careers where you can earn six figures relatively rapidly but they usually require several extra years of education. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics the top 10 Highest Paying careers are all in the medical field. Here are a few of them (not in any particular order).

Dentists

As we all know, dentists are responsible for helping patients with the health of their mouth, teeth, and gums. Between dealing with cavities to helping people whiten their smiles, these professionals usually make six figures a year and have work that is both in-demand and rewarding. It is difficult to get into school, but the long career awaiting you is worth your time. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Dentists earn an average of $164,010 per year. About 5,000 openings for dentists are projected each year, on average, over the next decade.

Other less lucrative (but also less education intensive) professions in the Dental field include Dental Assistants ($41,180 per year), and Dental Hygienists ($77,090 per year). [Read more…] about Excellent Six-Figure Careers To Consider

Filed Under: Careers Tagged With: careers, Computer, Doctor, health, information technology, Lucrative, Pilot, Six-figure, surgeon

Create A Great Construction Job Resume For Better Responses

February 9, 2022 by Tim McMahon

With the construction industry booming, there is a high demand for skilled and qualified professionals to fill a variety of jobs.  Construction companies need skilled workers for every aspect of the job, people who can do anything from carpentry to electrical work. In today’s job market, a great construction job resume should have employers begging you to come work for them.

Since your resume is the first impression you make on a potential employer, it should be written in a way that highlights your knowledge, skills, and experience.

How to Create a Great Construction Resume

The first step to landing a job is to write a good resume. For a construction job application, here are three tips on how to write an effective resume.

* Keep it concise. You don’t need to include everything about yourself, just the most essential information. This will keep the length to one page.

* Research the best keywords to use when describing your experience, skills, and qualifications when posting your resume on an online job site. This will help recruiters identify if you’re a viable candidate for an open position and they will reach out to you for an interview.

* The two key factors Recruiters are looking for today are a willingness to learn and consistency/reliability. You need to demonstrate that you’ve stayed on the job more than just a few weeks or even months and that you are willing to work hard and learn new skills. If you can demonstrate those things, in this market you will have no trouble finding a good-paying job.

What to Say

Signs for Hiring construction jobs are everywhere. You can find them in newspapers and online job sites. Here is what you should include in your resume.

* Skills and qualifications: List your qualifications for the position and any experience you have in the construction industry.

* Relevant work experience: If you have little or no experience, list any work experience or volunteer work you have in a related field.

* Education: List the names of your schools, degrees, and years of graduation.

* Certifications: List any certifications or licenses applicable to the construction industry.

* References: Provide three references with contact information who can speak to your character and work ethic.

* Availability: Mention where you’re available to work and when you’re available.

* Contact: You should list your phone number and email address at the top. You should also include your physical address in case they need to mail you information.

Add a Cover Letter

You will be able to increase your chances of finding a job in this fast-paced industry by adding a cover letter to your resume. Use it to demonstrate your personality and work ethic and highlight the experience and skills you mentioned on your resume

If you’re willing to work hard, you’ll discover that the construction industry is a dynamic, ever-changing field that offers many opportunities. You can get started with a good resume and an accompanying cover letter.

You might also like:

  • Secure Careers That Don’t Require A Lot Of Education
  • No Work Experience? Here Are Some Interesting Job Possibilities
  • Create a Professional Resume
  • Give Your Resume a Boost by Increasing Your Skill Set
  • Find a Good Job by Updating Your Resume

Filed Under: Resume Tagged With: Construction Resume

January 2022 Unemployment Up not DOWN as Reported

February 5, 2022 by Tim McMahon

January 2022 Unemployment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

January 2022 Unemployment report

  • Adjusted U-3 was UP from 3.9% to 4.0%
  • Unadjusted U-3 was Up from 3.7% to 4.4%
  • Unadjusted U-6 was Up from 7.2% to 7.9%
  • Labor Force Participation Up from 61.9% 62.2%
  • Unadjusted Employment fell from 150.349 million to 147. 525 million

January 2022 Unemployment report: Establishment news media chose to put a positive spin on this month’s Jobs report focusing on the Bureau of Labor Statistics 467,000 jobs number. U.S. News says, US Economy Defies Omicron and Adds 467,000 Jobs in January. Long-time readers of this site will remember that this is a Seasonally Adjusted number based on the “Current Population Survey (CPS)” rather than looking at the results reported by actual companies in their “Current Employment Statistics survey (CES)”. As we explain below, more people were NOT employed in January than in December all that the adjusted number indicates is that fewer people lost their jobs in January than in a typical January.  In actuality, there were 2.6 million fewer employed in January 2022 than in December 2021 and even the Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment rate INCREASED from 3.9% to 4.0% while UNADJUSTED unemployment increased even more.

According to the Commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics:

“Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 467,000 in January, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 4.0 percent. Employment growth continued in leisure and hospitality, in professional and business services, in retail trade, and in transportation and warehousing. Employment has increased by 19.1 million since April 2020 but is down by 2.9 million, or 1.9 percent, from its level before the onset of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in February 2020. Monthly job growth averaged 555,000 in 2021.”

As usual, they are talking about “Seasonally Adjusted Jobs” from the “Current Population Survey (CPS)” rather than looking at the results reported by actual companies in their “Current Employment Statistics survey (CES)”

But looking at the CES report we see…
Originally the BLS reported 150.170 million for December which they adjusted to 150.349 million. For January they are reporting 147.525 million.
which is actually a decrease of 2,645,000 jobs based on their original estimates or a decrease of 2,824,000 based on their updated numbers. Typically January loses a significant number of jobs due to post-holiday layoffs so January employment decreases are not that unusual. But if we look at the adjusted numbers we see that even the seasonally adjusted unemployment was up suggesting that the layoff was a bit worse than usual.

[Read more…] about January 2022 Unemployment Up not DOWN as Reported

Filed Under: BLS Tagged With: BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, employment, January 2022, unemployment, US News

December Unemployment Rates by State

February 1, 2022 by Tim McMahon

Unemployment rates fell in 42 states plus the District of Columbia from the previous month. Forty-Eight states along with D.C. had significantly lower unemployment rates than year-ago levels. Iowa and Maine’s unemployment rates have only fallen by -0.2% and -0.3% respectively.

California had the highest number of unemployed individuals at 1.238 million which gave them a 6.5% unemployment rate. The next highest number of unemployed was Texas with 712,828 unemployed and a 5.0% unemployment rate. Puerto Rico had the highest unemployment rate at 7.5%. And Nebraska had the lowest unemployment rate at 1.7%.

In the following chart, bubble size indicates the number of unemployed. The vertical axis indicates the percent change from a year ago, while the horizontal axis indicates the current unemployment rate (in percent).

Unemployment Rate by State Bubble Chart

 

State Unemployment Rate 12-month % Change Number of Unemployed
Alabama 3.1 -1.6 69,854
Alaska 5.7 -0.8 20,233
Arizona 4.1 -2.7 150,043
Arkansas 3.1 -1.8 42,609
California 6.5 -2.8 1,238,037
Colorado 4.8 -2.1 154,292
Connecticut 5.8 -2.4 105,215
Delaware 5.0 -0.9 24,609
District of Columbia 5.8 -3.0 23,741
Florida 4.4 -0.7 466,176
Georgia 2.6 -2.7 135,906
Hawaii 5.7 -4.6 37,057
Idaho 2.4 -1.4 22,088
Illinois 5.3 -2.7 333,136
Indiana 2.7 -1.9 88,240
Iowa 3.5 -0.2 57,907
Kansas 3.3 -1.4 49,796
Kentucky 3.9 -1.7 78,817
Louisiana 4.8 -3.1 98,295
Maine 4.7 -0.3 31,806
Maryland 5.0 -1.8 156,473
Massachusetts 3.9 -4.5 145,093
Michigan 5.6 -2.6 265,115
Minnesota 3.1 -1.6 93,906
Mississippi 4.5 -2.1 56,792
Missouri 3.3 -1.1 101,988
Montana 2.5 -1.7 13,689
Nebraska 1.7 -1.7 17,128
Nevada 6.4 -1.8 99,409
New Hampshire 2.6 -1.2 19,561
New Jersey 6.3 -1.4 280,211
New Mexico 5.8 -2.8 55,640
New York 6.2 -2.5 572,626
North Carolina 3.7 -2.4 188,391
North Dakota 3.1 -1.6 12,297
Ohio 4.5 -1.1 256,392
Oklahoma 2.3 -2.2 42,758
Oregon 4.1 -2.2 89,349
Pennsylvania 5.4 -1.7 337,133
Rhode Island 4.8 -3.1 26,684
South Carolina 3.5 -2.1 85,090
South Dakota 2.6 -0.7 12,173
Tennessee 3.8 -1.8 127,341
Texas 5.0 -1.9 712,828
Utah 1.9 -1.4 31,817
Vermont 2.5 -1.0 7,972
Virginia 3.2 -2.4 136,557
Washington 4.5 -1.8 176,857
West Virginia 3.7 -3.0 28,903
Wisconsin 2.8 -1.2 86,197
Wyoming 3.3 -1.9 9,717
Puerto Rico 7.5 -1.7 82,653

Nebraska had the lowest jobless rate in December, at 1.7 percent, followed by Utah, 1.9 percent. The rates in the following 12 states set new series lows (since 1976): Arkansas (3.1 percent), Georgia (2.6 percent), Idaho (2.4 percent), Indiana (2.7 percent), Kentucky (3.9 percent), Mississippi (4.5 percent), Montana (2.5 percent), Nebraska (1.7 percent), Oklahoma (2.3 percent), Utah (1.9 percent), West Virginia (3.7 percent), and Wisconsin (2.8 percent). California and Nevada had the highest unemployment rates, 6.5 percent, and 6.4 percent, respectively.

Editor’s Note: It is possible that part of the reason that the unemployment rate is so low is that people have withdrawn from the workforce due to COVID fears, homeschooling, or other reasons.

In total, 17 states and the District of Columbia had unemployment rates higher than the U.S. figure of 3.9 percent, 16 states had lower rates, and 17 states had rates that were not appreciably different from that of the nation.

Nonfarm Payroll Employment

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 17 states and was essentially unchanged in 33 states and the District of Columbia in December 2021. The largest job gains occurred in California (+50,700), Texas (+50,000), and New York (+45,300). The largest percentage increases occurred in Iowa and West Virginia (+0.8 percent each), followed by Massachusetts, Missouri, and Montana (+0.6 percent each).

Over the year, nonfarm payroll employment increased in 48 states and the District of Columbia and was essentially unchanged in 2 states. The largest job increases occurred in California (+954,400), Texas (+694,400), and Florida (+479,300). The largest percentage increases occurred in Nevada (+7.4 percent), Hawaii (+7.1 percent), and Massachusetts (+6.6 percent).

Filed Under: Unemployment Tagged With: December 2021, employment, State, unemployment

Secure Careers That Don’t Require A Lot Of Education

January 26, 2022 by Tim McMahon

Deciding on a career path can be stressful. Finding a good secure job that doesn’t require a college education can be difficult.  With so many options out there, you want to make sure you pick a career path businesses will need. Knowing the current job market trends can help alleviate some of the stress. Certain jobs will always be in demand.

Nursing Assistant or Orderly

There will always be a need for nurses. A certified nursing assistant or CNA is the lowest rung on the Nursing ladder and doesn’t require a lot of education. A CNA assists patients in their health care needs in a hospital, clinic, or nursing home. A registered nurse supervises them. To be a CNA, you only need a high school diploma or GED. Some states require CNAs to pass a competency exam to become licensed or certified. A CNA needs to take a patient’s vitals, serve food, bathe and dress them and be strong enough to move or lift patients when necessary. Orderlies transport patients and clean treatment areas. Overall employment of nursing assistants and orderlies is projected to grow 8 percent from 2020 to 2030. In 2020, CNAs and Orderlies earned an average of between $30-31,000/yr. [Read more…] about Secure Careers That Don’t Require A Lot Of Education

Filed Under: Careers Tagged With: career, Construction, Electrician, nursing, Plumbing, Truck Driver

No Work Experience? Here Are Some Interesting Job Possibilities

January 19, 2022 by Tim McMahon

Looking for work can be daunting. Even when lots of job openings seem available, you might quickly discover that many of them have educational and experience requirements you don’t have. Fortunately, you can find work faster if you look into fields of work that require little to no experience.

Grocery Stores

Whether it’s working as a cashier, bagger, or stock clerk, grocery stores need plenty of people to keep food goods and customers moving. The work is simple enough for on-the-job training. It seems like a low-paying position, but grocery stores pay their employees quite well.

Restaurants

Cooks and managers at regular restaurants might need experience. Waitstaff, greeters, busboys, and dishwashers often don’t. Fastfood is always looking for cooks as well. There are often opportunities for flexible schedules and working your way up if you enjoy working where you do. If you find the right place, you may love the environment more than the work and stay for the ones that take good care of you. [Read more…] about No Work Experience? Here Are Some Interesting Job Possibilities

Filed Under: Careers Tagged With: Construction, Grocery, jobs, No Experience, Restaurants, side hustle, Temp, Warehousing, work

Exciting Marketing Careers You May Not Know About

January 14, 2022 by Tim McMahon

marketing [ mahr-ki-ting ]

Marketing careers are constantly changing and evolving. There are many avenues to pursue your career, some of which you may not be familiar with. Whether you want to work with small businesses or global brands, plenty of options are available.

According to Investopedia, “Marketing refers to activities a company undertakes to promote the buying or selling of a product or service. Marketing includes advertising, selling, and delivering products to consumers or other businesses.”

Sales

When starting a marketing career, it is essential to make sure that you aim for the right marketing field. One option that may not be as popular but still offers an excellent range of opportunities is sales. Sales can range from running your own company to freelance work to providing advice on the best practices for other companies or brands.

Selling may be more stressful than other marketing types because you are responsible for generating revenue and reaching targets. Still, it can also come with more financial security and career progression opportunities than some other types of marketing jobs. If you make decent commissions, this can also be a great way to earn extra cash. Consider speaking with a sales job recruiting agency for new sales job opportunities near you.

[Read more…] about Exciting Marketing Careers You May Not Know About

Filed Under: Careers Tagged With: Marketing, Marketing Careers

December Job Growth Fails to Meet Expectations… Again

January 8, 2022 by Tim McMahon

December 2021 Unemployment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

Adj U3 Icon 3-9

  • Unadjusted U-3 was Down from 3.9% to 3.7%
  • Adjusted U-3 was Down from 4.2% to 3.9%
  • Unadjusted U-6 was Down from 7.4% to 7.2%
  • Labor Force Participation Unchanged at 61.9%
  • Unadjusted Employment rose from 150.098 million to 150.170 million

Job growth in December failed to meet expectations for the 2nd month in a row. Economists had predicted more than 400,000 jobs would be added in the month. Instead, according to the BLS, the U.S. economy added less than half that amount.

On a positive note, Seasonally adjusted unemployment fell from 4.2% to 3.9%.

According to the Commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics:

“Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 199,000 in December, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.3 percentage point to 3.9 percent. Employment continued to trend up in leisure and hospitality, in professional and business services, in manufacturing, in construction, and in transportation and warehousing. In 2021, job growth averaged 537,000 per month. Employment has increased by 18.8 million since April 2020 but is down by 3.6 million, or 2.3 percent, from its level before the onset of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in February 2020.”

As usual, they are talking about “Seasonally Adjusted Jobs” from the “Current Population Survey (CPS)” rather than looking at the results reported by actual companies in their “Current Employment Statistics survey (CES).”

But looking at the CES report, we see…
Initially, the BLS reported 150.004 million for November, which they adjusted to 150.098 million. For December, they are reporting 150.170 million.
This is an increase of 166,000 jobs based on their original estimates or an increase of 72,000 based on their updated numbers.

Although Employment is 6.568 million Above Year-Ago Levels…

Employment numbers are still about 800,000 short of February 2020 numbers, but the Civilian Population has increased by about 2.6 MILLION people since then.

[Read more…] about December Job Growth Fails to Meet Expectations… Again

Filed Under: Unemployment Tagged With: 2021, BLS, December, employment, job growth, unemployment

Simple Tips For Generating More Real Estate Clients

December 28, 2021 by Tim McMahon

The most important key to success as a real estate agent is generating potential clients. While finding your first client is difficult for some, there are things you can do to increase your odds of success. There are many ways to find clients as a new real estate agent, but these tips have proven most successful for rookie agents.

Get Face-to-Face With Potential Buyers and Sellers

A great way to begin the process of generating clients is by getting involved in the community through volunteer opportunities at local charities or mentoring programs. This will allow you to meet potential clients and create relationships with them.

Use Your Personal and Professional Networks

One of the best ways to find your first clients is by leveraging the people you know. Ask your family, friends, and colleagues if they know anyone looking to buy or sell a home. Word-of-mouth is a potent tool, so don’t be afraid to ask for help. [Read more…] about Simple Tips For Generating More Real Estate Clients

Filed Under: Small Business Tagged With: Clients, real estate

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