UnemploymentData.com

Your Source for Employment and Unemployment Data

Unemployment
You are here: Home / Archives for Elliott Wave International

Elliott Wave International

Here’s Why “Strong Jobs” Don’t Mean “Higher Stocks”

by

The stock market leads the economy, not the other way around

By Elliott Wave International

Jobs vs StocksIt’s a wonderful thing when jobs are added to the U.S. economy.

But, as far as investing goes, history shows that you should not bet your stock market portfolio on it. Conversely, even a series of weak jobs reports doesn’t mean you should bet against stocks.

This is worth mentioning because many pundits believe big economic factors like jobs determine the stock market’s trend.

Consider this from CNN Money:

Solid corporate earnings coupled with continued demand for new technology bode well for the major U.S. stock indexes. So do expectations of a buoyant economy at home and a recovering one overseas. [emphasis added]

When do you think this article was published?

Well, it’s hard to tell because the narrative could fit different timeframes in recent history. Plus, correlating strong earnings and the economy with gains in stocks is all too common.

That article was published on Dec. 31, 1999 — just two weeks before the DJIA hit a milestone high and then went on to shed nearly 40% of its value through October 2002. [Read more…] about Here’s Why “Strong Jobs” Don’t Mean “Higher Stocks”

A Closer Look at All Those New U.S. Jobs

by

U.S. labor force participation rate is at its lowest level in 38 years

A Closer Look at All Those New U.S. Jobs
U.S. labor force participation rate is at its lowest level in 38 years

By Elliott Wave International

Editor’s note: You’ll find a text version of the story below the video.

I was in the café of a bookstore recently and overheard a young man tell his friend, “It’s hard to get a job these days, even with a degree.”

Of course, this was just one comment, and anecdotes are not a substitute for statistics.

But much of the talk about the U.S. job market is that it’s far less robust than it use to be, despite a steady improvement in the official jobless rate since the Great Recession high of 10.0% in October 2009. This October, the official unemployment rate was 5%.

In truth, the real jobless rate would be [Read more…] about A Closer Look at All Those New U.S. Jobs

The Big Lie – Part 2

by

Last week we published an article titled Gallup Head Says Unemployment Rate is “A Big Lie” in it we said that, the big news is that Jim Clifton the CEO of Gallup said that unemployment is really closer to 9%. Here’s what he said:

There’s no other way to say this. The official unemployment rate, which cruelly overlooks the suffering of the long-term and often permanently unemployed as well as the depressingly underemployed, amounts to a Big Lie.

Today the editors of Elliott Wave International look at the implications of that statement and how it relates to inflation and deflation. ~Tim McMahon, editor

The “Big Lie” About the U.S. Jobs Picture

Some 30 million people are either out of work or severely underemployed

By Elliott Wave International

Editor’s note: You’ll find the text version of the story below the video.

The financial media has recently featured stories with an upbeat outlook for the U.S. economy.

For example: The economy is on track for “the fastest growth in a decade” (Associated Press), and “Experts expect jobs aplenty in ’15” (USA Today).

This upbeat tone is related to December’s U.S. jobless rate of 5.6%, its lowest since June 2008.

But [Read more…] about The Big Lie – Part 2

How DEEP Will Cuts in Government Services Go?

by

Plus: The check is STILL in the mail.

“Localities have chopped 535,000 positions since September 2008…”
USA Today (10/18)

Cuts in government services became conspicuous after the 2007-2009 financial crisis.

The first edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash saw this coming, even though the book published nearly a decade ago:

“Don’t expect government services to remain at their current levels…The tax receipts that pay for roads, police and jails, fire departments, trash pickup, emergency (911) monitoring, water systems and so on will fall to such low levels that services will be restricted.” (p. 257)

Households throughout Massachusetts know exactly what Prechter is talking about. [Read more…] about How DEEP Will Cuts in Government Services Go?